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US labour market

US unemployment rate edges up to 4.2% in September

The initial payroll estimate showed little change in jobs. Two different surveys explain why the payroll count and unemployment rate do not move in lockstep.

MCM Editorial Team Published

Illustration: A technician examining a pump in an American workshop.

The September US employment report showed little movement in either headline figure. Nonfarm payrolls rose by a net 29,000, with little change recorded in any major industry. The unemployment rate edged up from 4.1% to 4.2%, within the narrow range of 4.1% to 4.3% observed since March.

The two numbers come from different surveys. Employers report jobs on their payrolls, so a person working two jobs can be counted twice. The unemployment rate comes from a household survey that counts people. A modest rise in the number of payroll jobs does not translate into an equal reduction in the number of people out of work.

Length of unemployment adds a dimension the headline rate cannot provide. About 1.9 million people had been unemployed for at least 27 weeks, just over a quarter of all unemployed people. A stable rate can therefore coexist with very different experiences of how quickly jobseekers find work.